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Monday, March 29
Due to other commitments last weekend I had very limited opportunities to do some trading. In fact it was only possible Sunday night and when I came back home Nadal-Nalbandian already played a few games. I traded 6 tennis matches this night and was looking forward to do the same Monday night. Too bad it's raining right now and no play in Miami so far today.

Graph is showing price movement in match Wozniacki-Kirilenko. I believe Kirilenko was traded as low as 1.12 :) Market expected Caroline retirement I guess. But Caro won 2nd set 6-1 and odds were back to prematch price.
I feel tired and I need some days rest. Next weekend will also be busy due to my full time job which means I am going to miss all tennis matches from Friday to Sunday, semifinals and both finals :( Well, it's life.....

Anyway, I will try to keep you updated whats going on. Wish you good luck and keep it green ;)

Thursday, March 25
Last night wasn't so lucky for me. I was totaly wrong all the time on match Bammer-Parmentier. I was involved in this match from 2nd set and changed my position 3 or 4 times. I didn't switch to Parmentier and just let it go still hoping Bammer may wake up before GSM. Unfortunately not this time, GSM and red numbers in my book.

I post it here just to let you know I also have red books some days. As I said in one of my earlier posts I broke against some of my rules this week. I trade tennis without live pictures, still can not find any live streams so the best will be take it easy and wait until TV coverage starts. I have a problem with discipline at some times. Must keep working on it.......discipline may be the key if you want to be a successful trader.
Wednesday, March 24
I am currently trying to make some profits trading tennis and just to show you how my screen may look at some times LOL.

As in title, 3*tennis means I am involved in 3 tennis markets at the same time. Second image is for some of you who never tried The Toy and have not a clue how it looks. Image showing "Todays In-Play Tennis Matches". You can see all matches at the same time, from this window you can open markets in grid or ladder mode, place bets or just watching how price moves for all markets.

Wish you good luck....;)
Thought those tennis games in post below would be my last trades this night but I found live pictures from NBA match, Denver Nuggets@New York Knicks, thanx to Canal+ Deportes :)

My total number matched bets on this market was 19. I was on wrong team from the start and changed my position 3 times during last quarter. With 24 sec left Knicks had 3 points lead and I was big red on Denver so I decided go for hedge and small green on both teams. Nuggets missed some shots and final result was 109-104, Knicks won as you can see on screenshot.

Now it's definitely end of my trading this night, going to bed. wish you good night and good luck.

Updated P&L attached.
When back at home Tuesday night I found only 4 tennis matches on the scoreboard and some of them 2 sets already played :( Not much to do...all other games already finished. I decided to place a bet on Safarova when she was leading 2-1 in final 3rd set. Lucky enough I could hedge for a small green when Kanepi was broken and Safarova leading 3-1.
I also made £5 profit from Dushevina v Kudryavtseva ;) As we say, any green is good.
Tomorrow I have a day off and hope will be more opportunities for some trading but still no live streams available I afraid.

Safarova was "my player" tonight :)

Final results of games I was involved in:

Women's Singles - First Round
A Kudryavtseva (RUS) vsV Dushevina (RUS) 4-6, 6-1, 6-4
L Safarova (CZE) vs K Kanepi (EST) 6-7(1), 6-4, 6-3









Tuesday, March 23
It was busy day, back to my daytime job and it was late when I had a chance to do some trading. I had a look at tennis markets, qualifying matches for Sony Ericsson Open in Miami. No live streams available should mean no trading at all ..... but.....
I broke against some of my rules and was involved in 3 of Monday night games. It was:

Women's Qualifying - First Round

Yung Jan Chan - Sloane Stephens 6-1, 6-2
Tsvetana Pironkova - Akgul Amanmuradova 6-2, 6-2

Men's Qualifying - First Round

Yen Hsun Lu - Julio Silva 6-4, 6-2

I can not tell you anything about these games as I was only trading by looking at scoreboard. It's always very tricky to trade such games with no liquidity. You can not be sure you will be able to close your position when you need :)

Will try to do some trading tomorrow if possible.

It's Yung-Jan Chan on the picture....player of the night for me as you can see on attached P&L ;)
Monday, March 22
Sunday started very well or should I say very lucky. It was too much of gambling when I decided trade greyhounds. First race @Hove I saw lot of money matched, I was amazed. But next races were more like I could expect. After 2 hours of combined gambling/trading (more gambling) and I got a nice profit. It was very close in one of races, Will Hill radio commentator said  my dog (dog I just layed) was a winner of that race. I was looking at big red numbers but was saved this time by a photofinish :) I was lucky this time. It was the end of gambling for me. Some of you guys may say it was stupid and very unprofessional....YES, I agree now...it's why I am NOT a PRO ;)

Later, just before tennis from Indian Wells I placed a  lay bet on +2.5 soccer market (Valencia-Almeria). I could hedge for a profit of £12.49 ;)

Lets go to tennis. Great news is both favorites lost their finals. I am NOT a big fan of Jelena Jankovic but it's always nice to see great players when they are in form. In mens final Ljubicic won very close 2 set match against Andy Roddick. I didn't expect this at all. I tried some scalping without risking big amounts of money.


Sunday, March 21, 2010
Men's Singles - Final[20] I Ljubicic (CRO) d [7] A Roddick (USA) 76(3) 76(5)
Women's Singles - Final
[6] J Jankovic (SRB) d [2] C Wozniacki (DEN) 62 64

Another week is over and now lets go to Miami, next big tennis tournament with both WTA and ATP players on courts. Starting tomorrow with qualifying rounds, women and men's singles main draw starting Wednesday, March 24.
Sunday, March 21
What I mean in title is a new minor update to The Toy. As The Geek says:
 

I have implemented cross matching logic so that the available market prices now show as they do on the Betfair website.

I hope you know what it means. If not you may have a look at this post.

Cross matching issue
.

Betfairs cross matching made me crazy so many times on some markets. Did you ever found available prices were different in your trading software when compared to Betfair's web interface ? 
No more must we live with it, thanx to TG :) Maybe it doesnt mean as much for you as it mean for me but on tennis markets this new feature is very useful. Of course all other markets too but as you know I trade mostly tennis.

Have a look at The Toy and this new release. Link is under "Recommended Software" on the right  sidebar if you want to try The Toy.
Saturday was one day after Ivan Ljubicic celebrated his 31st birthday. This "old" man did sensational come back after he lost 1st set to defending champion Rafa Nadal, 3-6. Ljubo was in great form and beat Nadal in following 2 sets, 6-4, 7-6(1). Nadal won only 1 point in 3rd set tiebreak, amazing.

In second semifinal Andy Roddick defeated Robin Soderling in 3 set match. It was very close game but Andy was better player today. I was looking forward Nadal-Soderling in final but now we got Ljubicic - Roddick.


This will be very interesting match with great serving Ljubicic, he got 17 serve aces today. Not easy to break this man ;) Rafa did it 3 times today but still was a loser at the end of the day.
No more trading today and here is my P&L from tennis session.
Saturday, March 20
After 6 hours sleep it was time for another challenge. Trading horses after long break from these markets. I didnt trade Cheltenham races at all. Today was very crazy day on horse markets but maybe it is what we may expect in future. Some BIG guys dropped very BIG money in some races, it's amazing to see such big amounts matched in crap races :)

I was very surprised with API and my connection today, almost perfect all day. I am a small player on horse markets and am very happy with profit like today. Strike rate was as good as it can be also....


More tennis later tonight

Ljubicic - Nadal and Roddick - Soderling. Very interesting, I would be happy to see Nadal - Soderling tomorrow in final game at Indian Wells.
Finally decided to start trading again but it wasn't easy from the start. First tennis match Friday evening was Jankovic-Stosur. API and my Internet connection was OK all day. I placed my bet, exposure about £200, watching the game and looks nice. Suddenly The Toy's API status window start showing errors and very slow response time. I checked Betfairs web interface using Firefox....and could not access Betfairs website :( I checked The Geek's forum and it was loading very slow too so my guess was I had a local problem related to my ISP. Lucky enough it was Ok again after 3-5 mins. I managed hedge and was pleased with my position. No more bets in this match. JJ did what she should and it was nice to see Jelena playing great tennis again.

After WTA it was time for 2 ATP games. Roddick-Robredo was very easy one for Andy. Head to head is now 11-0 Andy Roddick with Robredo only taking 1 set from Roddick so far :)
More interesting was second match, Murray-Soderling. I checked their head2head and found last time they played it was 6-1 6-4 to Soderling. But I could not believe this time will be something like this again LOL. I was very disappointed with Murray/s performance. I backed him just when I was sure it was very good value but have to change my position very quick in 1st set, some more bets/scalping in 2nd set and finally was happy with my profit. I had very nice green on Soderling but only £5 on Murray so I decided to place a hedge bet for level profit while Soderling was serving for a match. Believe it or not...Soderling was broken !!! LOL We got tiebreak in 2nd set..No bets during tiebreak, Robin won so I had nothing for my last hedge bet but would be nice to see they play 3rd set.....poor Andy yesterday or maybe overrated ? Robin has now 2 wins in a row against Murray.

Last game of Friday night was 2 polish girls....Sorry but I can not stop thinking about Caroline as a polish girl :) They are very close friends and spend their holidays together before this season started. Caroline was too good and Radwanska lost as I expected.






Final results Friday night:


Men's Singles - Quarterfinals
[6] R Soderling (SWE) d [4] A Murray (GBR) 61 76(4)
[7] A Roddick (USA) d [18] T Robredo (ESP) 63 75


Women's Singles - Semifinals
[2] C Wozniacki (DEN) d [5] A Radwanska (POL) 62 63
[6] J Jankovic (SRB) d [8] S Stosur (AUS) 62 64

and my result


Basketball profit is just something I did while waiting for Caroline-Agnieszka, it was NBA, Rockets-Celtics.

Wish you all good luck and have a nice day ;)
Tuesday, March 16
I have just installed a new chatbox widget on my blog. From now you can have a chat with me and other readers of my blog or just let me know about anything at anytime :) Feel free to use it....

Not much to say about my trading last week. Struggling broadband, Betfair's API errors for non UK customers and other issues are some reasons why I am very careful and didnt trade these days. Trying to play with Excel and Gruss BA as I said in earlier post but it's going very slow.

It's too bad i can't trade late night tennis games from Indian Wells. So many great results there and already so many favorites out from tournament. Clijsters and Azarenka, both lost their matches last night, Jankovic won after marathon match against Errani, 2 hours 48 minutes
Tuesday, March 9
Wtf ?...You may think, what am I talking about, but it's what I should wait from my ISP this week :(  I just received this info. Trading horses this week is nothing for me. Just hope my Internet connection will be stable before this weekend. Today my connection dropped 3-4 times during the day, could be more while I was out from home.

With Indian Wells starting this week it's not funny at all. I was looking forward to this tournament. Oh well,with all broadband problems in mind I am not going to take any chances. I really need another ISP as backup, mobile broadband is something I think about.

If no trading these days I will continue to learn more about Excel and what it could do for me together with Gruss Betting Assistant. If you can help me in any way with triggered betting using Gruss + Excel please contact me. I need any kind of help as I am still newbie ;)

Btw, it's Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova on image, one of my favorite players last month. She let me make some nice profits, 2 times winner against Hantuchova in last 3 weeks ;)
Sunday, March 7
Saturday and Davis Cup means it is time for doubles and i dont like trading doubles. Finally I had time to play on horse markets.
I reported some problems and issues with API and Betfair's web site but at the end of the day I was very lucky and get nice total profit from horse racing. Traded 24 races with 100% strike rate. It's unbelievable I know but to be honest i was very lucky today. Some of my trades didn't look very good but maybe struggling API was working for me today ? In some races odds were jumping like crazy with big back/lay gaps. If I only could make such results consistently.
After last race I watched soccer - Barcelona game, made £6 profit there LOL
Madrid v Sevilla was another one....I made £2.6 profit LOL
But I must tell you something....I placed lay bet on over 2.5 in Madrids match, 2 secs later Sevilla scored and it was 0-1 I was so scared but found my bet was cancelled :) I believe it's 10 secs delay when you place in-play bets in these markets. Now you see...my green numbers are result of my luck today :)

I also traded WTA semifinal from Monterrey, Hantuchova-Cibulkova and if you want to see some stats from this match please have a look at my screenshot. It was Hantuchova one way traffic from second set to the end of the match. Reminds me of yesterdays match (King-Hantuchova) when Hantuchova lost 1st set 6-2, but won 6-2, 6-1 in set 2 and 3 :)

I am waiting for second semifinal in Monterrey but it's raining and the game is delayed so not sure about this one. Tomorrow more Davis Cup singles, some of them very interesting.
Sweden-Argentina I expect Soderling win and make it 2-2, but who will play next single ? It's Pim Pim Johansson-Schwank scheduled but I will not be surprized if it will be Nalbandian. Nalby played amazing tennis today in doubles....Plenty more interesting tennis games tomorrow so maybe I should get some rest and be ready for Davis Cup.

Saturday, March 6
So far today while trading horses I got 10-15 bet in progress errors. I managed to make profit anyway, lucky me :)  But as I said in my previous posts, trading these days is more like gambling for me.
Kelso 3.35 race was the worst one. I had to check Betfair's web interface but even there in my web browser I could not see my current position in the market. I could see bets matched in My Bets tab but P&L not updated, showing 0. It took about 2 mins, it was Ok later.
API today is very bad for me. Alot of bet in progress errors and very slow response time. Bets not showing in web interface etc.....what a joke :(

Friday, March 5
First set in match Kanepi-Hantuchova is over. It was one way traffic. So far highest matched price on Hantuchova was 1.57 .Well it's still not over....but Kanepi is very poor, Hantuchova just OK but nothing amazing from her. I was lucky to get some green and could hedge for £44 all green after 20 mins played and Hantuchova 6-1 lead. But you never know with these players so I am going to leave it as it is and go to bed get some sleep. They played before with result like this
Indian Wells 2007Hantuchova - Kanepi 2:1 » 6:2, 2:6, 6:1
Friday should be very interesting and busy day with horse racing, Davis Cup and more WTA from Monterrey.
I am not sure if there will be time to trade horses as first Davis Cup single match starting at 10.00. It's Andreev-Devvarman. I would love to go and watch some live tennis here in Stockholm, Sweden-Argentina but doing this I would miss so many trading opportunities so I think I am going to stay at home.

Good night and keep it green ;)
From previous post you know I said Cibulkova (was 1.5 this morning) will trade at higher price in-play. So I laid Dominika when she was 1-0 in 1st set...and hedged when she was broken. I thought no need to be greedy when her price was 1.83 just to see her price go up to 2.2-2.3 a few minutes later....Now I am asking myself was it a bad trade or should I be happy with my green ? ;) £40 after 15 mins played....ohh well...I think it's ok

Cibulkova is now back and it's 3-3 with her price 1.41....you see very big swings and only 6 games played so far in this match LOL
Thursday, March 4
I am back to my daytime job so no chance for trading horses at all. Last night traded 3 tennis matches and hope to do the same tonight. Not sure if I will be back home in time to see Szavay-Groenefeld but this one is not easy to pick a winner. Wish it was Sevastova-Benesova on centre court as in this i feel strong for Sevastova. She will play on court 1 which means no live stream :(

It is Anastasija Sevastova on the picture, player of the week so far after defeating Jankovic.

Other games played on centre court are:

Errani-Cibulkova

Kanepi-Hantuchova

Hantuchova and Cibulkova are priced right now around 1.5 but I am almost sure both players will trade at higher odds in-play. Well, I never place my tennis bets before the start so lets wait and see what's gonna happen in tonights tennis ;)

Wish you good luck with all trades.
Wednesday, March 3
More WTA tennis from Monterrey and horse racing, it was my Tuesday trading. Traded only 6 races. API scared me, you can see my screenshot taken just before todays racing started. I am not sure if it's Betfair's API issue again or my local connection. I did a test at speedtest.net and found no problems with my broadband. My plan for today was trading greyhounds but have to wait until my trading software shows stable connection to Betfair site.
Anyway I was lucky and all 6 horse races ended with small profit.

After horses I started to look at tonights tennis schedule. I traded only games played on centre court with live stream available. In my P&L you can see 2 matches from last night. Right now there is another match on centre court, it's Szavay-Goerges playing 3rd set. I closed my position after 2nd set and now waiting for next match, Jankovic-Sevastova. Never seen Sevastova so I have no idea about her, may need to do some research :)
Ohh, well, here my P&L from today.

Tuesday, March 2
I am trading tennis right now, Hercog-Dentoni and just want to show you something. It's nothing unusual but anyway, be careful when you place your bets and watching live streams, keep an eye on live scoreboard at the same time. Score is not always what they try to tell you ;)

First screenshot tell you Dentoni has 2-1 lead....on the second image you see it's Hercog 3-1. Now you understand what I am trying to tell you ?

So, good luck and stay focused while trading tennis.
Traded 9 horse races today and 3 WTA matches. Too bad, I had nice all-green in Granville-Wozniak but Granville retired at 3-3 in 1st set which means all bets void :(
Anyway, I am happy as long my numbers are on + side.

Not much to say about todays trading. API as usual these days was not stable. I got some bet in progress errors, response time was from 30 to no response at all if you know what I mean :( Very bad and placing bets still feels like gambling for me. I try not to take big risks, using smaller stakes.

Here a few shots from today.

About Me

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Sweden
Trying to make some extra money trading sport markets on Betfair since 2005. Using now The Geek's Toy-The BEST Trading application because it's the best and fastest trading application right now. 14 days FREE TRIAL is available. You should try it. As english is not my mother language please forgive me any spelling and grammar errors;)