Alicia Molik

I missed almost all of 1st round matches in Melbourne. Was back to trading last 2 nights and must say I missed some of great opportunities. Maybe not really missed, what I mean I decided go all green too early. As many times was said, any green is good and we shouldn't be greedy, right ?



First of games was Petrova-Molik. Petrova started slowly and I started to lay Nadia.....riding the wave ;) Pre-match odds for Nadia around 1.25 - 1.30.....Early break and Molik 2-0...Petrovas price looking nice....hmm....another bet, this time backing Petrova hoping that she can NOT play much worse ;) Expecting Molik to start making some errors...a bit nervous now. So happy when Nadia playing better and making less errors. Finally 1st set to Petrova 6-4. Second set was easy walk for Nadia, final result 6-4, 6-1.

Was it right to hedge or not ? I think yes, I feel much better when looking at green numbers with no liability. So much still can happen to a tennis player, injuries etc...you know what I mean.

Another one, very lucky move for me was Nabandian-Berankis. I was very surprised Nabandian defeated Hewitt in 5th set. Wouldn't be so surprised if it was done in 3 or 4 sets, but 5th set ?!!! I am always unsure about Nalbandians status. This time against Berankis it was a very important factor. No bet before the start. Want to see a few games before I put my money on one of the players. Nalbandian not looking very good ;) It's an understatement. Looks like he just gone of court after match against Hewitt LOL

First set easy and very fast to Berankis, 6-1. My money was on Rickardas when starting 2nd set, Berankis odds still looking very nice 3-0....but I am happy and don't want more liability on Nalby...just watching and ready to react if/when Nalbadian start playing better. Nope, there was not a sign of it, to be honest I expected it will be over before 2nd set....retirement or not ? Not yet, he lost 6-0, talking to a trainer, pills ? no, nothing could save David this night, it was all over. Retirement with 6-1, 6-0, 2-0 to Berankis on the scoreboard.....

It was one of great opportunities which happens sometimes when trading tennis....Good result for me but sad story for Nalbandian after his great match against Hewitt.

I was waiting for Del Potro - Baghdatis but missed it, was too tired after trading for more than 8 hours. Maybe was lucky and it saved me from a loss, expected Del Potro to win ;)

Total traded 15 tennis markets last night, more to come after midnight. I did a screenshot from my trading software, A Geeks Toy. You can see all available In-Play tennis odds for tonight.
I am not placing bets before the start but right now I feel for Manasieva against Sevastova. First match on court 3, not sure about stream but Manasieva @2.4+ is worth a bet if you ask me

Good luck to all of you tennis lovers and other traders ;)

I have no idea what was in Gulbis mind last night when he played Gilles Simon. Gulbis broke Simon's opening service game, he was playing very solid tennis and odds suggested he was favorite to win the match. We have to remember it's tennis and anything can happen. Gulbis was broken to LOVE when serving at 5-4, we got a tiebreak and Simon won 7-1.

Second set was kind of a joke from Gulbis, one of the fastest sets I have been watching for a very long time. Simon dropped 3 points total in 2nd set ! LOL
Gulbis lost 6-0, you see some stats and graph for this match. Simon converted all of his break points in this match, 4/4 is not bad at all even if it's against a player who doesn't look interested to win a match :)

I was happy with trading this time as I decided green up when I got a chance after 15-20 mins played...

By the way, I should also say Gulbis is one of players I am very careful when backing for many reasons. Very talented player but there is something missing at some times if you know what I mean ;)

So my advice is: look at screenshot and go for a hedge when you have a chance with players you don't trust.

Good luck !

A new version of A Geek's Toy is available today. Some minor bug fixes and some enhancements. One of them is tick offset with greening. It was one of features I requested for a very long time and now I am happy !

Click on the "Tick Part Hedged" text will cycle through the available options.

Thanx The Geek !
It's one of the tools I am using very often when trading/scalping fast moving markets. Now it's only one mouse click and we may be green all over...:)

Wish all of you Happy New Trading Year as it's my first post this year ;)

Last night I watched and traded another NFL game, Baltimore Ravens @Houston Texans.

This time I was happy with my hedged profit at half time (21-7 Ravens lead)  and was going to bed.

Ravens scored another touchdown in 3rd Quarter and 28-7 on the scoreboard. Baltimore traded @1.02. Somehow, I could not sleep and keep watching this game...On the scoreboard before last 4th Quarter 28-13. I have no idea what both teams did at half time but it was two different teams from now. Texans offense was on  fire and Ravens defence got problems, big problems. Texans made touchdown after an amazing 99-yard (!!!) drive, the longest drive in team history. Another touchdown with 21 seconds to play and 28-26 on the scoreboard which means it wasn't enough with an extra point, Houstons needed 2 points and guess what ! They did it, 2-points conversion was good !!! 28-28 and we got overtime....

NFL and overtime is more gambling than trading, Baltimore wins the game after Matt Schaub's pass was intercepted and returned for 12 yard touchdown. Game is over and some traders very happy, other are very poor and sad I guess....

At some time in 3rd Quarter there was +500000£ to back Baltimore @1.02 and waiting for layers LOL

Here is screenshot.....

Davis Cup final was the end of my tennis trading season. Serbia to win wasn't a surprise at all but I must admit I was surprised after all 4 singles finished after 3 played sets. I expected 4 or 5 set games so no big profits there.


It means my trading life must go on without tennis markets. My Betfair bank is now reduced and I am trading NBA. NFL, horses, dogs and...handball LOL

Oh well, handball was just one bet for fun when Sweden played Netherlands @European Championships. I could not resist to put some money on swedish ladies ;)

Just to show you what I did today I decided to post a screenshot....so, last 24 hours I traded 5 sports with some profit total but my horse trading today was a disaster. I made some very stupid decisions when trading horses. Such result makes I don't feel very happy at the end of the day. Greyhounds saved my day today....I am not sure what to do now after such bad day on horse markets, maybe need a rest and try again next week...

I am going to do some trading tonight, Lakers@Chicago Bulls, odds right now 1.8 - 2.2. Maybe Orlando@Utah if I manage to find a stream for this one.

It's all from me for now, wish you good luck !