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Friday, July 30

On the image you see Ernests Gulbis of Latvia. For some reasons he is not one of my favorite players to trade but anyway, I was involved in his match last night. He played Alejandro Falla.

Let's start from the beginning, I had an "OK profit" so far for the day and my plan was to trade Gulbis before I go to sleep. So far so good....Ohh...by the way...believe it or not, I had an unbelievable run of tennis markets without "red" this week. Counting from Monday I traded 56 markets without any losses. I believe it must be my best run so far. Some markets with profits like £2-5 and some bigger profits but anyway, green is green and we all love to keep "red" away.....

Back to Gulbis, started very good for me laying him and could hedge for a nice profit before 1st set was over. No problem what so ever but.....something stupid happened, maybe I was tired, maybe too much confidence, I backed Gulbis one more time in 2nd set....and you may guess what happened....yeah, for sure !!! Gulbis lost 2nd set and I had to try recover from this stupid mistake. I found I was not reacting to market fast enough and today I could say there was too much of gambling from my side. I hate trading tiebreaks, I dont like trading during final set but in this market everything happened....I traded tiebreak in 3rd and final set !!! How stupid it was....I was trying to minimize my loss, Gulbis lost his match = I lost £110....and believe me, right after GSM I was happy with £110 loss :)

I still had profit for the day and should go to bed, forget about Gulbis and let it be...but....what is comming next ? It's Becker-Blake and I could not resist, let's go and do some trading !!! This could be funny I think......yeah, it was at the end but started with a disaster. Blake was broken in first set and Becker serving for the set at 5-4...I am green on Becker with no chance to hedge for all green so let's go.....Becker serving 0-15......0-30....0-40.....broken !!!...Hmm.....what to do ?....It's  5-5 with Blake to serve....ffs...I am going all red !!! Blake holds easy.....Becker serving at 5-6........0-15.......0-30.......0-40........broken !!! Set to Blake....7-5



You know what ? Am I the only one with feeling that some of tennis matches smells ? What to do now ? Going BIG red on Becker....trying to change my all red to green on Blake....No breaks of serve in 2nd set, after some trades, laying Blake at low odds and backing higher I was green on Blake but still could not hedge for all green. My chance was tiebreak and finally I could go all green before GSM, had Gulbis still in my head I could not wait for 3rd set....Anyway Blake takes the tiebreak and GSM !! Thanx...uff...what a crazy night ! I still have alot to learn LOL

Thursday, July 29

It was 4th of July Janko married girlfriend Biljana Sesevic in Belgrade, later this month it was Stepanek and Vaidisova.


Janko Tipsarevic is a really funny guy and great tennis player when he is playing his best tennis. Last night he played Somdev Devvarman and as almost always with Tipsy on court you had many great trading opportunities. It could be easy if you lucky enough to start with right bet. I was confident from the start laying Janko and was looking at very nice "green numbers", I should hedge and be happy but NO...a few minutes later everything changes, more bets from me...backing, laying, backing, lay-back and so on...LOL

It's why I love tennis, you DO NOT have to be on the right side from the start or after 1st set....the game is not over before it's GSM, you know what I am trying to say...Final score and stats from this match on the image above.


Yes, Janko had it totally under control :)

After Tipsy it was Marcos Baghdatis-Ryan Sweeting....and I must say I was really sweating watching this match. Marcos was playing awful tennis in 1st set and...to be honest I wasn't impressed at all with the quality of this match. Anyway it's not about it, it's about trying to make some money and 3 set match with total 8 breaks of serve gives you some opportunities to trade out of bad possitions. I was done after set nr 2 and it was end of my trading yesterday.

Now I found Marcos and Janko will play in next round...what a game if both are in good mood ;)

Let's hope no more raining in Europe and we can see some more live tennis today, starting with Larsson-Cirstea

Keep it green and remember...no panic ! It's not over before GSM :)
Wednesday, July 28
 I am currently trading Dushevina-Sevastova, or should I say was trading :) Players are now in 3rd set and I feel happy with my green at the moment. As I said some times before, I really don't like trading final set if/when I am all green with a nice profit on both players. No need to be greed as we say....I know there could be more great opportunities in the final set of a tennis match, but we need time to have rest and this is the right moment I feel.

Ferrero-Cuevas looks really nice too, 6-4, 3-3 to Cuevas at the moment. I love when market goes crazy like in Cuevas game when he was broken in the second set and we got Ferrero back as favorite...just to see a break back and now Cuevas trading @1.5...:)

Wish you good luck and happy trading !
She is one of my favorite female players on the tour, no question about it. Her name is Kimiko Date Krumm. This woman is almost 40 year old, retired from WTA tour in 1996 (!!!) and made comeback after 12 years. She became my favorite @Roland Garros this year after she won against Dinara Safina in 3 set, she struggled with a calf injury at that time, most people expected retirement during 3rd set but NO NO....great fighters from Japan never retires ;) And Safina was a loser one more time. Almost same story last Monday, Safina takes 1st set but Kimiko is back to win in three set again :)

Well, I know it's old news but anyway, I just want to let you know about this woman. By the way...during her retirement from tennis she ran London Marathon :)

Kimiko Date will play Dementieva today and Elena is at the moment @1.19. Dementieva should be a big favorite to win match but don't forget it will be Elena's first match after her retirement from French Open.

I traded 18 tennis markets yesterday but one of most strange markets was Sweeting-Vliegen, what a crazy (?) match it was. I was lucky enough to be on the right side after GSM.....

As you can see I am not posting my P&L now and it will be this way, I think. I feel like there is no need anymore to show what could be done. I reduced my Betfair bank to £500 and enjoyed my holidays. Now trying to build up my bank before US Open to be able trade using bigger stakes when it's time for big games again ;)




Wish you good luck !
Monday, July 26
Look at these graphs, prematch odds for Skugor-Volandri, match should be played later this evening.
Let me know if I missed something important, please LOL


Update.....


Home player Franco Skugor won 6-2, 6-1....was it easy money for you too ?
;)

Anna Chakvetadze winner in Portoroz after 6-1, 6-2 against Johanna Larsson


Mardy Fish winner in Atlanta after 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 against John Isner


Andrey Golubev winner in Hamburg after 6-3, 7-5 against Jurgen Melzer


Julia Goerges winner in Bad Gastein after 6-1, 6-4 against Timea Bacsinszky
Monday, July 19
Nicole Vaidisova and Radek Stepanek after their wedding last Saturday.

I am not sure about answer to the question in title but for sure Radek and Nicole (former WTA tennis player) are both happy now ;)

Can we expect Nicole to make a come back in future ? I wouldn't be surprised, she is only 21 now.


Congrats to both !!!
Here are 4 tennis players, winners of last weeks tournaments.

Agnes Szavay winner in Prague....


Albert Montanes winner in Stuttgart....


Kaia Kanepi winner in Palermo....


Nicolas Almagro winner in Bastad...

This week we also have 4 tournaments, ATP in Hamburg and Atlanta, WTA tournaments will be played in Portoroz and Gastein.

About Me

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Sweden
Trying to make some extra money trading sport markets on Betfair since 2005. Using now The Geek's Toy-The BEST Trading application because it's the best and fastest trading application right now. 14 days FREE TRIAL is available. You should try it. As english is not my mother language please forgive me any spelling and grammar errors;)